Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingMike Thompson (D) 77.7%-2.7pt
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+27.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
16 sep 26, 02:32 UTC3 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California - Wikipedia
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
- [link preview]
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 947,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,6 mln.
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 523,8K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 30,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 493,5K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- Manifold Markets prijst Mike Thompson (D) op 77.7% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will win the CA-4 house election? afgewikkeld?
- Who will win the CA-4 house election? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will win the CA-4 house election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California - Wikipedia