Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Other 23.9%Koploper van 30 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
8 nov 24, 11:41 UTC26 nov 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win in 2028 Presidential Elections
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRegels
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
- Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets — Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election? · J.D. Vance 20%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 30%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 24%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 21%
- Ook beschikbaar op Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 19%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Ook beschikbaar op PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 21%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 23%
Open markten
PoliticsVeelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections??
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 24% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections? afgewikkeld?
- Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections? wordt naar verwachting op 26 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
