Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US Presidential Election Winner 2028?

Myriad prijst JD Vance op 41.2% per 10 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt US Presidential Election Winner 2028 afgewikkeld?

US Presidential Election Winner 2028 wordt naar verwachting op 7 november 2028 afgewikkeld.

Myriad wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: ### **Market Dates:**

Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Smarkets, Limitless, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi.

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Gegevens van 10 okt 2026, 00:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

Huidige impliciete kans

JD Vance 41.2%-0.1pt

Koploper van 31 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

22 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

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3,596

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

24 feb 26, 12:35 UTC7 nov 28, 13:00 UTC

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Regels

### **Market Dates:**

- **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
### **Resolution Criteria:**
- This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
### **Resolution Details:**
- If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.