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  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district

SolanaOne-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing6mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent) 92.8%
Voorspellers

4

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 dagen geleden

Verouderd
4 jun 25, 15:0031 dec 26, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Catherine Blakespear (Democratic, Incumbent)93%

Regels

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be verified through the California Secretary of State's website: California Secretary of State - Election Results.
  • The 38th State Senate district encompasses coastal North County San Diego County communities, including La Jolla, Del Mar, Solana Beach, Cardiff, Rancho Santa Fe, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Vista, Oceanside, San Luis Rey, and Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base, along with the southern edge of Orange County, including San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Ladera Ranch, Las Flores, and Rancho Santa Margarita.
  • (en.wikipedia.org)
  • As of June 2025, the incumbent is Democrat Catherine Blakespear, who assumed office on December 5, 2022.

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Regels

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 election for California's 38th State Senate district.
  • The official results will be verified through the California Secretary of State's website: California Secretary of State - Election Results.
  • The 38th State Senate district encompasses coastal North County San Diego County communities, including La Jolla, Del Mar, Solana Beach, Cardiff, Rancho Santa Fe, Encinitas, Carlsbad, Vista, Oceanside, San Luis Rey, and Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base, along with the southern edge of Orange County, including San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, Ladera Ranch, Las Flores, and Rancho Santa Margarita.
  • (en.wikipedia.org)
  • As of June 2025, the incumbent is Democrat Catherine Blakespear, who assumed office on December 5, 2022.