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Nobody (linked market resolves NO) 50%-23.5ptKoploper van 11 uitkomsten
Nobody (linked market resolves NO) 50%-23.5ptVoorspellers
42
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-23.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd8 feb 25, 00:00 UTC2 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
This market is based on: @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener
- If the linked Scott Alexander market resolves NO, this market resolves to 'Nobody'.
- If the linked market resolves YES, this market resolves based on which AI was used to trigger the resolution of the linked market.
- I reserve the right to edit options in the interest of making this market as predictively useful as possible.
- For example, to avoid overlap, if 'OpenAI' and 'Sam Altman' were both options I would edit 'Sam Altman' to say 'The first AI dev organization founded by Sam Altman after he leaves OpenAI'.
- I will generally try to edit the most recently added option in such a scenario, and I will perform the edit as soon as the issue is brought to my attention.
