Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
PolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
JD Vance (Vice President) 24.8%Koploper van 26 uitkomsten
JD Vance (Vice President) 24.8%Voorspellers
222
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd13 aug 24, 19:26 UTC26 aug 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner
Manifold MarketsWill a major-party U.S. presidential candidate deploy an AI clone to talk to voters before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all 7 ‘swing states’ in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsConditional on no Kirchners being on any major party presidential ticket, will Milei be reelected in 2027?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegels
Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.
- Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344