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Deepmind/Google/Alphabet 29%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 32 minuten geleden
3 mrt 24, 16:53 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
Manifold MarketsConditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
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Manifold MarketsWill the first human level AGI be Neuromorphic/WBE rather than Prosaic?
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KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegels
This question seeks to identify who will first publicly reveal human-level AGI.
- Timeline: Voting closes at the end of 2029.
- The question may be resolved earlier if a clear winner emerges.
- If human-level AGI is not achieved by 2030, the question will resolve based on who has made the most progress towards the criteria.
- Definitions:
- Human-level AGI: Artificial Intelligence capable of doing almost all human cognitive tasks to a high level (equivalent or better than a median professional in the field).