Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Samenleving en cultuur6jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNever, or only in 2033 or later 69.2%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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Verouderd16 feb 25, 18:52 UTC2 feb 33, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Each bucket is two chances to win! All years are inclusive
- Every calendar year Jan - Dec is a measurement point.
- If you think it won't happen, even including 2032, then bet the option for it not happening.
- I've chosen a restricted range so that skeptics have a shorter term option.