Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

ChinaOne-OffTech Space1j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 11 jul 2026, 16:59 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Other 95.8%+1.8pt

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 16 dagen geleden

Verouderd

29 nov 25, 12:3129 nov 27, 12:26

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

0.3%

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

0.3%

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

0.2%

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

0.2%

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Long March 10A (CALT/CASC)3%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Volumetrend

$100

10 jul2d aan data11 jul

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BitcoinBTC$63,497.25-3.10%

EthereumETH$1,882.47-4.34%

SolanaSOL$73.36-4.44%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.97%

BNBBNB$564.78-1.94%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.74%

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Regels

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

ChinaOne-OffTech Space1j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 11 jul 2026, 16:59 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Other 95.8%+1.8pt

Koploper van 6 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 16 dagen geleden

Verouderd

29 nov 25, 12:3129 nov 27, 12:26

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

0.3%

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

0.3%

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

0.2%

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

0.2%

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Long March 10A (CALT/CASC)3%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.

Volumetrend

$100

10 jul2d aan data11 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

€ 54,5

China: 41%

KALSHI

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

€ 107,2

Ja: 40.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

AI bubble burst by which date?

€ 1,6K

2026: 18%

POLYMARKET

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

€ 1,1K

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?

€ 316,5

Ja: 84.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

€ 94,1

Ja: 56%

POLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,497.25-3.10%

EthereumETH$1,882.47-4.34%

SolanaSOL$73.36-4.44%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.97%

BNBBNB$564.78-1.94%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.74%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter

Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt

Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt

Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News

Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt

Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto News

Regels

Resolution criteria

The market resolves YES for the first Chinese orbital-class rocket stage to successfully land vertically.
The landing must be a controlled vertical descent to a surface (land or sea platform), not a parachute recovery or horizontal landing.
The same launch must successfully put a payload into orbit - no 'hops' or failures!
Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the rocket manufacturer or Chinese space authorities confirming successful orbital flight and vertical landing.
While China's progress is impressive, it still lags the United States, particularly SpaceX, which has launched more than 300 times.