Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Nate Silver perform best relative to Manifold?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-Off3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingSilicon Valley (0 of 9 Resolved) 44.5%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mrt 25, 15:19 UTC16 feb 30, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Originally from this Article:
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- Overall Competition:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true)That question (and this question) uses the time locked percentages from Manifold which was two weeks after Nates' article was published (and is why some questions are excluded).
- Spreadsheet Used For Tracking
- Live Manifold Tracking Market of Individual Questions: