Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ship 42 33.3%+0.5ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
1 jul 25, 21:24 UTC31 okt 26, 21:12 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship Ship 42 be the first to fly to orbit and be caught by the tower?
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the first SpaceX Starship to successfully land on the catch arms (chopsticks) of a launch tower.
- The vehicle must come to rest in one piece on the chopsticks, but any following event, including destruction, will not affect the resolution.
- S37 and S38 are the final remaining Block 2 ships.
- S39 is the first Block 3 ship.
- Newer ships may be added as needed.
Open markten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Starship will be the first to be caught??
- Manifold Markets prijst Ship 42 op 33% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Starship will be the first to be caught? afgewikkeld?
- Which Starship will be the first to be caught? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Starship will be the first to be caught? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria