Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Starship 45.7%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Starship 45.7%Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 25, 23:48 UTC31 dec 32, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWill Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Market resolves once one of these launches with humans on board.
- Launch doesn't have to be successful.
- Launch doesn't have to be orbital (point-to-point counts).
- Launch does have to be the full stack (only second stage of Starship doesn't count)
