Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingLiberal Democrats 32.3%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd1 apr 25, 11:44 UTC30 jul 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Conservatives going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Cons?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
Manifold MarketsIf the Prime Minister is a member of the party endorsed by the Economist in the next UK general election, who?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the party that The Economist magazine explicitly endorses in its editorial for the next UK General Election after the July 2024 election.
- If The Economist endorses a coalition rather than a single party, the market resolves to "the named outcome." If The Economist does not make an explicit endorsement, the market resolves to "the named outcome."
- The Economist has a history of making political endorsements in UK elections:
- Historically, The Economist has often endorsed the Conservative Party
- In 2001 and 2005, it endorsed Labour under Tony Blair
