Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine21dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingUnited Russia 96.5%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd28 jul 26, 06:46 UTC29 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to the set of political parties that secure at least one seat in the 2026 Russian State Duma (9th convocation) through the federal party‑list proportional representation system only.
- Single‑member constituency wins are not considered for this market.
- The election is scheduled for September 18–20, 2026.
- Under Russian law, 225 of the 450 Duma seats are allocated via proportional representation, with a 5% electoral threshold.
- A party becomes part of the parliament if and only if it receives 5% or more of the valid votes cast in the federal party‑list vote, thereby qualifying for seat allocation.
- Parties that do not reach the 5% threshold, parties that are not on the final certified ballot, or parties that win only single‑member districts (which are excluded from this market) do not count as becoming part of the parliament for resolution purposes.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections??
- Manifold Markets prijst United Russia op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections? afgewikkeld?
- Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections? wordt naar verwachting op 29 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which parties will become part of the Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the 2026 elections? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to the set of political parties that secure at least one seat in the 2026 Russian State Duma (9th convocation) through the federal party‑list proportional representation system only.