Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
PolitiekAIGeopolitiek2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIran 100%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jan 26, 04:17 UTC19 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Market Description
- This market resolves based on whether the US conducts military operations in the listed countries between now and January 20th, 2029.
- The question was created following the January 3, 2026 US military operation in Venezuela that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.
- For Venezuela specifically, only additional military operations beyond the January 2026 operation count toward resolution.
- This market focuses on significant new military interventions rather than routine expansions of existing commitments.
- The intent is to capture unprecedented, possibly unilateral action by the US, not proxy operations conducted through local forces.
