Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
EntertainmentAIOne-Off3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingThe Devil Wears Prada 2 100%Koploper van 40 uitkomsten
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29
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd3 feb 26, 10:00 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- Each answer resolves YES if that film’s domestic (US+Canada) 3‑day opening weekend gross (Fri–Sun) will be between 50M and $100M in the 2026 US Box Office.
- Source of record: the “Opening” figure on Box Office Mojo for each film; if BOM is unavailable or clearly erroneous, will use The Numbers as backup..
- Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO, (boxofficemojo.com, the-numbers.com)
- Opening weekends that follow Wednesday/Thursday starts are still measured Fri–Sun; Thursday previews folded into Friday are fine.
- Limited-then-wide platforming is rare for these titles; we will still use the BOM “Opening” (first Fri–Sun of release).
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 319,8K
- 24u volume
- € 98K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,6K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4 mln.
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)??
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- Wanneer wordt Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)? afgewikkeld?
- Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
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- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria