Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Anthropic 74.3%-9.1ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-9.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd7 okt 26, 19:48 UTC7 nov 26, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
KalshiWhat will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich frontier lab will top the Epoch Capabilities Index EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegels
Which AI lab will own the top-scoring model on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) at the end of November 6, 2026 (US Eastern)?
- Resolution source: the ECI leaderboard at https://epoch.ai/eci (Epoch AI).
- I will read it on or shortly after the evening of Nov 6, 2026 and resolve to the lab that developed the model with the highest ECI score shown.
- If Epoch's data had already updated past Nov 6 when I check, I will use the Internet Archive snapshot closest to Nov 6 23:59 ET, or Epoch's published data file for that date.
- The model's developer decides the answer (e.g. Claude → Anthropic, GPT → OpenAI, Gemini → the named outcome, Grok → xAI).
- Anything else → Other.
