Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
AIManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Google (96.8%)
Afgewikkeld: 1 aug 2025, 02:25
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Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGoogle 96.8%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
193
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 198 dagen geleden
Verouderd1 mei 25, 4:4031 jul 25, 23:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
OpenAI3%
xAI0%
Anthropic0%
Google96.8%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot0.1%
Other0.1%
96.8%
3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 255,6K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 143,6K
- 24u volume
- € 130,5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Google op 97% per 4 februari 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) afgewikkeld?
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) wordt naar verwachting op 31 juli 2025 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.