Which company has best AI model end of October 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
AIManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Google (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 3 nov 2025, 04:06
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Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGoogle 99%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
45
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 198 dagen geleden
Verouderd8 aug 25, 22:1531 okt 25, 23:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
OpenAI0.1%
xAI0.1%
Anthropic0.2%
Google99%
Meta0%
Alibaba0.4%
DeepSeek0.1%
Moonshot AI0%
Other0.1%
99%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
Regels
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of October 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-5Ch5LQddE5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-spP5uLOAQR)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-QcqLtdnQnN)@/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
- @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer@/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 158,8K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 168,8K
- 24u volume
- € 155,2K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
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- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which company has best AI model end of October 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Google op 99% per 4 februari 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which company has best AI model end of October 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) afgewikkeld?
- Which company has best AI model end of October 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2025 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which company has best AI model end of October 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of October 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.