Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2036 66%-1.2ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
24
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd22 feb 26, 18:36 UTC1 jan 51, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Winds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
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Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegels
The Winds of Winter is the planned sixth novel in A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin.
- Each threshold resolves YES if the book is officially published and available for purchase in any format (print, digital, or audio) through at least one major retailer (e.g., Amazon, Barnes & Noble, or equivalent) before the listed date.
- If the novel is split into multiple volumes, the first volume's publication date counts.
- A title change does not affect resolution as long as it is marketed as the sixth ASOIAF novel.
- Each threshold resolves NO if George R. R. Martin dies before the book's official publication date, even if a completed manuscript exists.
- Posthumous publication does not count.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
- € 536K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 514,9K
- 24u volume
- € 496,9K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the Winds of Winter be released??
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2036 op 66% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the Winds of Winter be released? afgewikkeld?
- When will the Winds of Winter be released? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2051 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the Winds of Winter be released? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Winds of Winter is the planned sixth novel in A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin.