Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.4%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 25, 13:08 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.R. Martin's novel The Winds of Winter is officially published on or before December 31, 2026.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the novel is not published by that date.
- Official publication is defined as the book being made available for purchase by the general public in any format (print, digital, or audio) through recognized retailers or platforms.
- The Winds of Winter is the anticipated sixth installment in George R.R. Martin's epic fantasy series, A Song of Ice and Fire.
- The previous book, A Dance with Dragons, was released in 2011.
Open markten
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 319,8K
- 24u volume
- € 98K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,8 mln.
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 80K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 130,6K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4 mln.
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
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- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Winds of Winter released before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Winds of Winter released before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Winds of Winter released before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Winds of Winter released before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria: