Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingOther 32.3%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
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Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd10 nov 23, 20:20 UTC17 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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Regels
Background information here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom%E2%80%93United_States_free_trade_agreement
- Market resolves according to the date the agreement is effective, not the date it is signed.
- I'm expecting that if the agreement ever gets signed, the above page will look a bit more like this one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia%E2%80%93United_Kingdom_Free_Trade_Agreement, in which case I will take the date next to the "effective" field.
- If the UK and the US enter into a multilateral FTA that includes other countries, that triggers resolution.
- If the UK and US enter into a trade agreement that falls short of an FTA, that does not trigger resolution.
- Free trade agreements have a pretty universal definition so I don't anticipate any complications in resolution.
