When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNov 4 2026 -Dec 31 2026 16.4%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd14 jun 26, 19:25 UTC1 jan 28, 05:00 UTC
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This market resolves based on the earliest date on which a serious candidate publicly enters the race for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
- For purposes of this market, a candidate shall be considered to have "entered the race" when they publicly announce their candidacy, establish a presidential exploratory committee, file a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2), or otherwise take an action that is generally recognized by major national media outlets as the beginning of a presidential campaign.
- This market will resolve to the day that the candidate entered the race, but may wait to be resolved until I can determine if the seriousness criteria have been satisfied.
- DEFINITION OF SERIOUS CANDIDATE
- A candidate is considered serious if, within 90 days of entering the race, they satisfy at least one of the following criteria:
- NATIONAL POLLING THRESHOLD
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race??
- Manifold Markets prijst Nov 4 2026 -Dec 31 2026 op 16% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? afgewikkeld?
- When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the first serious candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election enter the race? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves based on the earliest date on which a serious candidate publicly enters the race for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.