When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?
RegelgevingOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskunde4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2035 or later 55.2%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
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2
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd30 jun 25, 13:25 UTC30 dec 30, 14:21 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the first year in which the Reversible Inhibition of Sperm Under Guidance (RISUG) procedure becomes commercially available to the general public. "Commercially available" is defined as the procedure being offered by licensed medical practitioners outside of clinical trial settings, with necessary regulatory approvals in place.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from regulatory bodies or reputable medical institutions confirming the availability of RISUG for public use.
- RISUG is a non-hormonal male contraceptive developed in India, involving an injection into the vas deferens to block sperm transport.
- Clinical trials have demonstrated its efficacy and safety, with a reported 97% success rate in preventing pregnancy.
- As of 2023, RISUG has completed Phase III clinical trials in India and is awaiting regulatory approval from the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI).
