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Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 11:06 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2032 92.5%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden
5 aug 26, 08:15 UTC31 dec 35, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
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Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegels
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
