Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNot before 2027 97.6%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
43
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd16 okt 23, 07:49 UTC31 dec 26, 13:29 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
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KalshiRegels
other = before 2024
- Will look at the stat page.
- If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
- I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated.
- Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation.
- I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
