Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBefore 2027-04-01 52.3%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd7 mrt 24, 13:54 UTC14 mrt 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegels
This market covers videos generated by AI from scratch (for instance from a text prompt), not AI transformations of an input video, which have existed for some time now.
- The market will resolve positively when a channel on YouTube or Twitch will stream at least 25 hours of realtime AI-generated video in the span of 48 hours.
- Traditional procedurally generated videos do not count.
- There should be consensus in the community that the video is AI-generated.
- The channel owner should declare it, and no plausible refutation should be published within a week after the broadcast.
- If the channel owner remains silent, I might resolve the market based on a poll or the comments.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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+7 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video??
- Manifold Markets prijst Before 2027-04-01 op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video? afgewikkeld?
- When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video? wordt naar verwachting op 14 maart 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will a YouTube or Twitch channel start streaming realtime AI-generated video? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market covers videos generated by AI from scratch (for instance from a text prompt), not AI transformations of an input video, which have existed for some time now.