What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
AandelenRegelgevingOne-OffAI9mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingGenerating labeled diagrams of some arbitrary device(s) (within reason) 100%Koploper van 36 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
314
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+22.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd20 jul 25, 04:26 UTC20 jul 27, 04:15 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Gender of Bonnie Blues kid (Read description for more details)
Manifold MarketsWill the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before 2035? [read description]
Manifold MarketsCoinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhen will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketRegels
OPTIONS RESOLVE YES IF THEY HAPPEN
- 1 option per person, but if you can credit the prediction about this question to a public person you can add it.
- Interpret the question the way you find most reasonable.
- You can explain your choice in the comments!
- IMPORTANT: the prediction must be realistically verifiable by me (can involve some searching or simple experiment), @Bayesian, in the event that you are not reachable at time of market close.
- I will N/A options where this is not the case.
