Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 07:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellinghas had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
53
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+6.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jul 25, 16:36 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiAmerica party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiRegels
I do not bet on my own markets.
- Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible.
- If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.
- Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.
- AI garbage to disregard below this line:
- Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.
