Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
$1.6–3.2 trillion 76%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
51
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd11 dec 23, 19:17 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $2-3T)
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Totaal volume
- € 93,7K
- 24u volume
- € 59,5K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,2 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 60,8K
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 32,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)?
- Manifold Markets prijst $1.6–3.2 trillion op 76% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy) afgewikkeld?
- What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy) wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).