Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling85° S 30.6%Koploper van 11 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 26, 03:36 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official landing coordinates of the first Artemis mission to successfully land (presumed Artemis IV) as confirmed by NASA.
- The winning answer will correspond to the degree of southern latitude of the actual landing site.
- Latitudes always round down.
- If the landing mission does not occur (e.g., if the mission is cancelled), the market will resolve to N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from NASA press releases or official mission reports available at nasa.gov.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 224,7K
- 24u volume
- € 160,5K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344,9K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing??
- Manifold Markets prijst 85° S op 31% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? afgewikkeld?
- What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria