Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2028 26%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
2028 26%Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jul 24, 18:19 UTC12 jul 35, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple's net profit in Q1 2027 exceed 2026's Q1?
FutuurLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegels
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
- Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year.
- Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
- We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
- If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "the named outcome".