What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingPolymarket 35.6%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jul 26, 09:46 UTC4 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to which prediction is the most accurate based on the formula outlined below.
- For the purposes of this market, the winner of the Senate will be the party that AP declares will hold a majority in the Senate as a result of the 2026 midterms (this includes the tie-breaking vote of the vice president and independent senators who are known to caucus with one party).
- If there is a tie, the market that had the most accurate prediction at 8 PM on the day of the midterms will win.
- The accuracy of a market's forecasts shall be measured using a Linear Decreasing Time-Weighted Brier Score.
- The purpose of this scoring rule is to reward markets that make accurate forecasts earlier in the life of the market, rather than only shortly before the outcome becomes known.
- Markets will be measured once per calendar day.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Polymarket op 36% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules) afgewikkeld?
- What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules) wordt naar verwachting op 4 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to which prediction is the most accurate based on the formula outlined below.