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Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd14 feb 26, 08:54 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- NASA officially expects Artemis III to launch no earlier than 2028.
- CNSA have said they will land on the Moon before the end of 2030.
- The market resolves to the month in which the next human successfully lands on the Moon.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or CNSA announcements.
- The landing must involve at least one human touching the lunar surface, ie leaving their lander.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What month will the next human walk on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets prijst Other op 44% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What month will the next human walk on the Moon? afgewikkeld?
- What month will the next human walk on the Moon? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What month will the next human walk on the Moon? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria