Deze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Afgewikkeld: 12 okt 2026, 18:00
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 13 okt 2026, 12:32 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Before 2026-10-010%
Before 2026-10-16100%
Before 2026-11-01100%
Before 2026-11-16100%
Before 2026-12-01100%
Before 2026-12-16100%
Resultaat in afwachting
Resultaat in afwachting
Resultaat in afwachting
Resultaat in afwachting
Resultaat in afwachting
Resultaat in afwachting
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KalshiRegels
This market resolves based on the release of Meta's model currently codenamed 'Watermelon'.
- Any name under which this model is ultimately released — whether 'Watermelon', 'Muse Spark 2', or another name — will count, as long as it is generally understood to be the model currently being developed under that codename.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
