Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 73.4%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd28 feb 26, 03:14 UTC1 jan 29, 03:01 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRegels
Resolves N/A if we do not have evidence by the end of 2028.
- Resolves YES if we have evidence that factors other than index, graduation year, gender, cheating* or MOP/TST protection affected whether or not an individual was invited to USA(J)MO (any year).
- Examples of this include race/ethnicity, or region (within the US).
- Resolves NO if we have evidence (like a public statement from MAA, or real public cutoffs) that no external factors would used in determining qualification.
- *MAA disqualifying clear cheaters does not count for this market
- Does not resolve YES off of an unintentional mistake (e.g. MAA accidentally forgot to send some emails, leading to luck being a factor)
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35,6K
- 24u volume
- € 11,8K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 7,4K
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,1K
- 24u volume
- € 608,1
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 73% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased? afgewikkeld?
- USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves N/A if we do not have evidence by the end of 2028.