Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNone 65%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd25 okt 25, 11:47 UTC31 dec 29, 22:59 UTC
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Trump attempts to use AGI to stay in power after his second term?
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KalshiTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRegels
Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?
- President: Trump serves a third term as President, maintaining full constitutional authority.
- the named outcome: Trump holds a high-level position formally coordinating or overseeing the cabinet.
- In this scenario, the actual President (for example Vance) would delegate day-to-day executive management to Trump.
- The role would be comparable to a Chancellor or Prime Minister, giving him direct influence over cabinet-level decisions.
- the named outcome: Trump would hold a cabinet-level position (e.g., Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense), formally under the President.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
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- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Next French Presidential Election
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trumps Power After His Second Term??
- Manifold Markets prijst None op 65% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trumps Power After His Second Term? afgewikkeld?
- Trumps Power After His Second Term? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trumps Power After His Second Term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Which role or mechanism will Trump use after his Second Term to continue exerting significant influence over U.S. executive decisions?