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Ja 81%
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8
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd28 jul 25, 22:16 UTC31 dec 59, 23:15 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has publicly, explicitly, and unambiguously declared that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been achieved before the reigning Pope makes an equivalent declaration.
- Resolution criteria
- What counts as a declaration?
- A clear, public statement (speech, press release, published interview, or official post on a verified social‑media account) asserting that humanity has created an artificial intelligence with capabilities broadly equal to—or exceeding—those of an average human across most cognitive domains.
- Mere claims of “powerful AI,” “superintelligence on the horizon,” or marketing hype do not suffice; the speaker must explicitly confirm that AGI already exists.
- Evidence standard
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Trump declares AGI before the Pope??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 81% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Trump declares AGI before the Pope? afgewikkeld?
- Trump declares AGI before the Pope? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2059 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Trump declares AGI before the Pope? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Donald Trump has publicly, explicitly, and unambiguously declared that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been achieved before the reigning Pope makes an equivalent declaration.