Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 98.9%
Voorspellers
157
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
8 apr 22, 16:06 UTC2 jan 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
