Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingWill be Indian 100%Koploper van 20 uitkomsten
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30
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd25 apr 24, 21:44 UTC3 mei 28, 06:59 UTC
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Update 2024-18-12 (PST): - "Losing to someone who has been world champion before" refers to losing the world championship title to a person who has previously been world champion (AI summary of creator comment)
- All "lose to" or "be defeated by" etc refer to the competition for the championship itself.
- Similarly, Defend refers to defending the championship.
- Also note that unless otherwise specified, statements such as "will defend his title 3 times" refer to his current holding of the title.
- For example, say he defends well in 2025 and 2026, then loses in 2027, then wins it again in 2028, then defends it again for the 3rd time in 2029.
- That would NOT count as defending 3 times.