Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingWill be Indian 100%Koploper van 20 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd25 apr 24, 21:44 UTC3 mei 28, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will be the next FIDE Chess World Champion after Gukesh Dommaraju?
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PolymarketRegels
Update 2024-18-12 (PST): - "Losing to someone who has been world champion before" refers to losing the world championship title to a person who has previously been world champion (AI summary of creator comment)
- All "lose to" or "be defeated by" etc refer to the competition for the championship itself.
- Similarly, Defend refers to defending the championship.
- Also note that unless otherwise specified, statements such as "will defend his title 3 times" refer to his current holding of the title.
- For example, say he defends well in 2025 and 2026, then loses in 2027, then wins it again in 2028, then defends it again for the 3rd time in 2029.
- That would NOT count as defending 3 times.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Totaal volume
- € 225,9K
- 24u volume
- € 157K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 348,3K
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Gukesh D's actions as World Champion - independent multi market?
- Manifold Markets prijst Will be Indian op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Gukesh D's actions as World Champion - independent multi market afgewikkeld?
- Gukesh D's actions as World Champion - independent multi market wordt naar verwachting op 3 mei 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Gukesh D's actions as World Champion - independent multi market afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2024-18-12 (PST): - "Losing to someone who has been world champion before" refers to losing the world championship title to a person who has previously been world champion (AI summary of creator comment)