Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.6%
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28
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd28 mrt 25, 22:47 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Tesla, Inc. acquires a controlling stake (>50%) in xAI (Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company) on or before December 31, 2026.
- The market resolves NO if no such acquisition occurs by this date.
- [image]Background
- xAI is an artificial intelligence company founded by Elon Musk in July 2023, focused on developing AI systems that can "understand the true nature of the universe."
- Elon Musk is currently CEO of both Tesla and xAI, creating a connection between the two companies.
Open markten
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 69,2K
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 185,7K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 17,8K
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026? afgewikkeld?
- Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria