Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.2%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 26 minuten geleden
10 dec 24, 14:59 UTC31 dec 29, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market resolves YES if a quantum computer successfully breaks SHA-256 encryption before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution will be based on peer-reviewed research papers or official announcements from major quantum computing companies/research institutions confirming a successful break of SHA-256.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must be a verified, reproducible break of the full SHA-256 algorithm
- Must be practically demonstrated, not just theoretical
- Must be confirmed by multiple independent sources in the cryptography community
