Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born??

Manifold Markets prijst South America op 34.1% per 21 oktober 2026.

On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?

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South America 34.1%

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Bijgewerkt 42 minuten geleden

3 apr 24, 18:51 UTC3 apr 74, 03:59 UTC

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The current pope (Francis) is from Argentina, making him the first pope to be from the named outcome and the first pope from the Southern Hemisphere.

The next several Popes have likely already been born.
In which continent will the first Pope born after 2024-04-03 18:50:00+00 be born?
[image]Respectfully modified from @Bayesian's excellent market: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/on-which-continent-will-the-next-po, in turn respectfully modified from @strutheo's excellent market:
@/strutheo/which-country-will-the-next-pope-fo