Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
One-OffSamenleving en cultuurAmerikaanse politiekEntertainment3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.1%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd10 feb 25, 22:38 UTC1 jul 30, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Manifold Markets60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiHow many of the 50 celebrities on DeathList 2026 will pass away?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an orgy on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
Manifold MarketsHarry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
KalshiRegels
Announced and confirmed by them, or credible clear reports that they don't live together and/ or are separated.
- Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria clarification:
- Death does not count: Only a deliberate decay of the relationship (through divorce or separation) meets the resolution criteria.
- Focus on relationship decay: The market outcome is based solely on whether the relationship falls apart, not on events such as a death.
- Update 2025-07-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market's deadline of 'mid 2030' is defined as the end of day on June 30, 2030, California time.
