Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.6%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd1 apr 25, 00:45 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Donald Trump run for a third term
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Barack Obama publicly announces his candidacy for a third term as President of the United States before January 1, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he does not make such an announcement by that date.
- The 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, ratified in 1951, states: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice." Barack Obama served two full terms as President from 2009 to 2017, which would constitutionally prohibit him from being elected to a third term.
- Considerations
- For this market to resolve YES, Obama would need to either:
Open markten
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Obama announces third term candidacy before 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria