Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.1%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd3 nov 25, 14:03 UTC1 jan 27, 08:43 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI release another open source LLM before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
Manifold MarketsWill Adam optimizer no longer be the default optimizer for training the best open source models by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurTop Open Source AI this week
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the complete source code of Minecraft: Java Edition is released under an open source license (OSI-approved or equivalent) that permits free use, modification, and redistribution.
- The source code must be publicly available in its entirety, not merely select libraries or components.
- Resolution can be verified via official Minecraft/Microsoft announcements or the official GitHub repository.
- This market resolves NO if the game remains closed-source or if only partial libraries continue to be released without the full codebase becoming open source.
- Original Minecraft creator Notch stated he would release the game source code as open source once sales start dying and a minimum time has passed.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,500 or above98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 906,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHIETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,300 or above97%
- $2,340 or above96%
- $2,380 or above93%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 285,4K
- 24u volume
- € 231,2K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+85.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-14.0pt52%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 249,1K
LIMITLESSMeta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Totaal volume
- € 222,9K
- 24u volume
- € 208,7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+3.0pt26.7%
- 220-239-1.0pt16.2%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Minecraft: Java Edition becomes open source by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria