Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd11 okt 25, 10:46 UTC14 aug 29, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
[image](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/)
- Current polling in the UK has many parties above 10% and around the same size, which could make a general election with their current FPTP system unpredictable.
- Among potential winners are the Reform party.
- Meanwhile, the Labour Party, which currently has a large majority, are polling quite badly, and would likely lose government if trends continue.
- They have traditionally been opposed to electoral reform, but with the above facts there has been increasing calls for Keir Starmer to reform the electoral system.
- Resolves yes if, before the next general election, significant changes are made to the electoral system such as implementing AV or PR.