Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd11 okt 25, 10:46 UTC14 aug 29, 22:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
KalshiWill the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?
ForecastExNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRegels
[image](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/)
- Current polling in the UK has many parties above 10% and around the same size, which could make a general election with their current FPTP system unpredictable.
- Among potential winners are the Reform party.
- Meanwhile, the Labour Party, which currently has a large majority, are polling quite badly, and would likely lose government if trends continue.
- They have traditionally been opposed to electoral reform, but with the above facts there has been increasing calls for Keir Starmer to reform the electoral system.
- Resolves yes if, before the next general election, significant changes are made to the electoral system such as implementing AV or PR.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Major changes to UK electoral system before next general election??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Major changes to UK electoral system before next general election? afgewikkeld?
- Major changes to UK electoral system before next general election? wordt naar verwachting op 14 augustus 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Major changes to UK electoral system before next general election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [image](https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/)