Macron leads EU before 2040?
BedrijfsactiesOne-OffGeopolitiekEuropaCentrale bankenVerkiezingPolitiek13jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 65.7%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd2 sep 25, 14:50 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Macron out by which date?
PolymarketWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsWill Macron call a referendum by December 31?
PolymarketWill Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?
KalshiIf a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Manifold MarketsWill Darmanin be the candidate supported by Macron in the French presidential elections of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.