Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.9%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jun 25, 06:15 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
Open markten
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 141,1K
- 24u volume
- € 129,1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 72,2K
- 24u volume
- € 71,8K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 71,6K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Lake Kivu erupt before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Following the latest RealLifeLore video: