Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.9%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 23 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jun 25, 06:15 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
- As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.