Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97%
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd19 sep 23, 00:37 UTC2 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegels
A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.
- In the case of lesser potential verdicts, we will attempt to determine if the truth about what happened would have qualified as kidnapping under the laws of New York as of 2023.
- On definition of space:
- Planes flying above earth don't count unless in zero g.
- Rockets do count as long as they've launched (not sitting on the surface of Earth) whether or not they have gravity.
- Space stations count.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Kidnapping in space any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.